*BSD News Article 57012


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From: gillham@andrews.edu (Andrew Gillham)
Newsgroups: comp.os.linux.advocacy,alt.os.linux,comp.unix.bsd.freebsd.misc,comp.unix.bsd.netbsd.misc
Subject: Re: a monthly FreeBSD magazine (and other *BSD's too)
Date: 16 Dec 1995 19:44:49 GMT
Organization: Andrews University
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References: <4ajc07$sb7@unix2.glink.net.hk> <4atq47$l46@agate.berkeley.edu> <4att23$mha@agate.berkeley.edu> <4au4fo$pbo@agate.berkeley.edu>
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In article <4au4fo$pbo@agate.berkeley.edu> nickkral@parker.EECS.Berkeley.EDU (Nick Kralevich) writes:
>
>Anyway, I would appreciate it if you could provide me with figures,
>ANY figures, regarding the size of the FreeBSD user base.  My original
>contention was that there are no more than 20,000 FreeBSD users, and
>you have shown me nothing to disprove that statement.  I would appreciate
>it if you could post even out of date statistics, ANYTHING!  But my
>guess is that there are no valid FreeBSD user statistics out there.


Having ABSOLUTELY NOTHING to base my guess on, I would _guess_ that
Walnut Creek CD-ROM has sold a substantial fraction of 20,000 CDs, if
not more than 20,000.  Using some of the "statistically valid"
percentages listed by yourself and/or the Linux counter, (0.5%-5%),
we see:

	20,000 == 0.5% = 4,000,000
	20,000 == 5.0% =   400,000
	10,000 == 0.5% = 2,000,000
	10,000 == 5.0% =   200,000
	 5,000 == 0.5% = 1,000,000
	 5,000 == 5.0% =   100,000
	 1,000 == 0.5% =   200,000
	 1,000 == 5.0% =    20,000
	   500 == 0.5% =   100,000
	   500 == 5.0% =    10,000

Now, did I miscalculate something here, or should you, perhaps, piss
off?
Even the most avid Linux user should be able to realize that Walnut
Creek sells quite a number of FreeBSD CDs, and also realize that the
percentage of users that _buy_ a CD is low.

-Andrew "didn't take statistics, so sue me" Gillham

PS.  We're all beginning to sound like Windows .vs. OS/2 shipments.
-- 
============================ Real 32bit multi-tasking UN*X System
Andrew Gillham             | TCP/IP,NFS,PPP,4.4BSD-lite,multi-user
gillham@andrews.edu        | i386,sparc,alpha,mac68k,amiga,others
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