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#! rnews 3632 bsd Path: euryale.cc.adfa.oz.au!newshost.anu.edu.au!harbinger.cc.monash.edu.au!hobyah.cc.uq.oz.au!bunyip.cc.uq.oz.au!munnari.OZ.AU!news.ecn.uoknor.edu!news.cis.okstate.edu!newsfeed.ksu.ksu.edu!news.physics.uiowa.edu!math.ohio-state.edu!howland.reston.ans.net!newsfeed.internetmci.com!in2.uu.net!news.artisoft.com!usenet From: Terry Lambert <terry@lambert.org> Newsgroups: comp.os.linux.development.system,comp.unix.bsd.386bsd.misc,comp.unix.bsd.bsdi.misc,comp.unix.bsd.netbsd.misc,comp.unix.bsd.freebsd.misc,comp.os.linux.advocacy Subject: Re: Historic Opportunity facing Free Unix (was Re: The Lai/Baker paper, benchmarks, and the world of free UNIX) Date: Sat, 27 Apr 1996 20:00:51 -0700 Organization: Me Lines: 67 Message-ID: <3182DF63.2DFB1742@lambert.org> References: <4ki055$60l@Radon.Stanford.EDU> <4lfm6m$d2c@rigel.tm.informatik.uni-frankfurt.de> <4lftn3$olb@solaria.cc.gatech.edu> <317C8F0F.307E@curtin.edu.au> <4lgo4c$6fa@solaria.cc.gatech.edu> <317E07F1.441D@curtin.edu.au> <317DAA16.42C86E59@lambert.org> <4lqpu1$j7q@news.missouri.edu> <31813BBE.467CAA89@lambert.org> <4lujcs$46t@symiserver2.symantec.com> NNTP-Posting-Host: hecate.artisoft.com Mime-Version: 1.0 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit X-Mailer: Mozilla 2.01 (X11; I; Linux 1.1.76 i486) Xref: euryale.cc.adfa.oz.au comp.os.linux.development.system:22570 comp.unix.bsd.386bsd.misc:877 comp.unix.bsd.bsdi.misc:3574 comp.unix.bsd.netbsd.misc:3431 comp.unix.bsd.freebsd.misc:18373 comp.os.linux.advocacy:47426 tedm@symantec.com wrote: ] [big long reasoning stating that Microsoft won't die deleted] ] ] This looks fine on the surface, until you start looking at the ] history of large corporations. ] ] The problem is that any company, no matter how large or small, ] must have a "vision" or leader of some kind. In small ] companies the leader is usually the founder. In large ] companies, a sucession of leaders usually takes place. ] ] Microsoft is a young company yet, and I'd wager to say that as ] long as Bill Gates is taking a personal interest in the ] company, it will thrive. The big question is what happens ] afterward. [ ... ] ] Eventually, Microsoft will lose Bill G, or he will make a ] fatal mistake, and the glass mirror will be shattered. If ] Microsoft ever declares a large loss then it will lose the ] aura of invincibility that it currently maintains and Bill ] will never be able again to dictate the computer industry ] the way he does now. [ ... ] ] It just goes back to "the bigger they are the harder they ] fall" A huge company like Apple Computer, or IBM is no ] more immune to stupid leadership or simple mistakes by ] smart leadership than a small company. The only difference ] between those 2 and Microsoft is that Small&Limp hasn't made ] any mistakes ....... yet. I think that this whole summation is based on some false premises: 1) The inevitability of failure Counter: it hasn't failed yet. 2) Dependence on a visionary goals and/or leadership Counter: the Catholic Church during the Inquisition 3) Companies dies of old age Counter: General foods Counter #2: governments, specifically Britain 4) Perception is power Counter: Machiavelli's "The Prince" 5) "The bigger they are, the arder they fall" Counter: "The exception that makes the rule" Any one of these should be enough to discredit the causality chain you are proposing. Regards, Terry Lambert terry@lambert.org --- Any opinions in this posting are my own and not those of my present or previous employers.